New Economic Metrics allow for an alternative approach to assessing potential development of GDP. Taking into account all the historic paths of countries through the 'Complexity/GDP per capita' space over time, allows a new probabilistic forecast of the likely bounds of GDP development.

The chart below shows an example: the coloured square represent the likelihood of the GDP, based on the current fitness of the country:


Additional analyses could include scenarios depending of various industrial policies - or more detailed comparisons with the trajectories of other countries.